driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.418
- brier
- 0.132
- ECE
- 0.244
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
97%grid 2 - 02
PIA
McLaren
97%grid 1 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
86%grid 3 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
83%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
82%grid 6 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
70%grid 7 - 07
ALO
Aston Martin
59%grid 10 - 08
ANT
Mercedes
49%grid 11 - 09
ALB
Williams
49%grid 15 - 10
GAS
Alpine
41%grid 14 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
39%grid 4 - 12
BOR
Kick Sauber
39%grid 13 - 13
LAW
Racing Bulls
37%grid 8 - 14
SAI
Williams
35%grid 9 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
30%grid 19 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
26%grid 17 - 17
TSU
Red Bull Racing
26%grid 12 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
20%grid 20 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
20%grid 18 - 20
COL
Alpine
11%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
97%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.93
- finish pattern+0.60
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 97.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 96.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)