driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.065
- brier
- 0.022
- ECE
- 0.048
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 65
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
65%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
56%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
2%grid 3 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
1%grid 6 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
1%grid 5 - 06
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 4 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
0%grid 7 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 12 - 09
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 8 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 19 - 11
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 18 - 12
COL
Alpine
0%grid 16 - 13
ALB
Williams
0%grid 15 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 17 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 20 - 16
SAI
Williams
0%grid 9 - 17
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 14 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 13 - 19
ANT
Mercedes
0%grid 11 - 20
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 10
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
65%
- grid position+2.45
- driver form (last 5)+1.21
- team form+0.96
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 65.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 60.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)