§ Round 24 · 2025
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
2025-12-07 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.053
- brier
- 0.015
- ECE
- 0.042
- field avg
- 7%
- spread
- 74
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
74%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
49%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
4%grid 3 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
3%grid 4 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
1%grid 14 - 06
TSU
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 10 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
0%grid 5 - 08
SAI
Williams
0%grid 12 - 09
COL
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 6 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 13 - 12
HAM
Ferrari
0%grid 16 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 18 - 14
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 19 - 15
ALB
Williams
0%grid 17 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 15 - 17
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 8 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 7 - 19
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 11 - 20
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 9
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
74%
- grid position+2.47
- driver form (last 5)+1.38
- team form+0.98
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 74.0%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 37.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)