JULES TACK.
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§ Round 24 · 2025

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.

2025-12-07 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation

← R23
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.114
brier
0.029
ECE
0.093
field avg
14%
spread
79

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    80%grid 1
  2. 02

    NOR

    McLaren

    70%grid 2
  3. 03

    PIA

    McLaren

    48%grid 3
  4. 04

    RUS

    Mercedes

    35%grid 4
  5. 05

    LEC

    Ferrari

    17%grid 5
  6. 06

    ANT

    Mercedes

    15%grid 14
  7. 07

    TSU

    Red Bull Racing

    3%grid 10
  8. 08

    SAI

    Williams

    3%grid 12
  9. 09

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    2%grid 6
  10. 10

    BEA

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 11
  11. 11

    BOR

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 7
  12. 12

    HAM

    Ferrari

    1%grid 16
  13. 13

    OCO

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 8
  14. 14

    LAW

    Racing Bulls

    1%grid 13
  15. 15

    STR

    Aston Martin

    1%grid 15
  16. 16

    HAD

    Racing Bulls

    1%grid 9
  17. 17

    ALB

    Williams

    1%grid 17
  18. 18

    COL

    Alpine

    1%grid 20
  19. 19

    GAS

    Alpine

    1%grid 19
  20. 20

    HUL

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 18

Top driver · factor breakdown

VER

Red Bull Racing

Probability

80%

  • grid position
    +1.90
  • driver form (last 5)
    +0.96
  • team form
    +0.67
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 79.6%.

Strongest team average: McLaren 58.9%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)