driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.246
- brier
- 0.084
- ECE
- 0.162
- field avg
- 13%
- spread
- 65
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
66%grid 1 - 02
PIA
McLaren
50%grid 9 - 03
NOR
McLaren
37%grid 7 - 04
SAI
Williams
25%grid 2 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
24%grid 5 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
17%grid 4 - 07
LAW
Racing Bulls
12%grid 3 - 08
LEC
Ferrari
6%grid 10 - 09
TSU
Red Bull Racing
5%grid 6 - 10
HAM
Ferrari
2%grid 12 - 11
ALB
Williams
2%grid 19 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
2%grid 8 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
1%grid 11 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 14 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 15 - 16
OCO
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 20 - 17
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 18 - 18
HUL
Kick Sauber
1%grid 17 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
1%grid 13 - 20
COL
Alpine
1%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
66%
- grid position+1.83
- driver form (last 5)+0.62
- quali gap to pole+0.60
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 65.8%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 43.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)