JULES TACK.
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§ Round 08 · 2025

Monaco Grand Prix.

2025-05-25 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation

← R07R09 →
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.105
brier
0.027
ECE
0.085
field avg
15%
spread
79

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    NOR

    McLaren

    79%grid 1
  2. 02

    PIA

    McLaren

    78%grid 3
  3. 03

    LEC

    Ferrari

    55%grid 2
  4. 04

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    47%grid 4
  5. 05

    HAM

    Ferrari

    14%grid 7
  6. 06

    RUS

    Mercedes

    5%grid 14
  7. 07

    ANT

    Mercedes

    3%grid 15
  8. 08

    ALB

    Williams

    3%grid 10
  9. 09

    TSU

    Red Bull Racing

    2%grid 12
  10. 10

    HAD

    Racing Bulls

    2%grid 5
  11. 11

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    1%grid 6
  12. 12

    SAI

    Williams

    1%grid 11
  13. 13

    OCO

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 8
  14. 14

    COL

    Alpine

    1%grid 18
  15. 15

    BOR

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 16
  16. 16

    HUL

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 13
  17. 17

    STR

    Aston Martin

    1%grid 19
  18. 18

    LAW

    Racing Bulls

    1%grid 9
  19. 19

    BEA

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 20
  20. 20

    GAS

    Alpine

    1%grid 17

Top driver · factor breakdown

NOR

McLaren

Probability

79%

  • grid position
    +1.93
  • team form
    +1.12
  • driver form (last 5)
    +0.68
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 79.5%.

Strongest team average: McLaren 78.9%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)