driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.352
- brier
- 0.114
- ECE
- 0.159
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 90
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 1 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 4 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 2 - 05
HAM
Ferrari
88%grid 7 - 06
ALB
Williams
66%grid 10 - 07
HAD
Racing Bulls
64%grid 5 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
62%grid 6 - 09
SAI
Williams
60%grid 11 - 10
RUS
Mercedes
57%grid 14 - 11
ANT
Mercedes
52%grid 15 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
43%grid 9 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
41%grid 8 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
36%grid 12 - 15
HUL
Kick Sauber
16%grid 13 - 16
GAS
Alpine
7%grid 17 - 17
BOR
Kick Sauber
6%grid 16 - 18
COL
Alpine
5%grid 18 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
5%grid 19 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
4%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.95
- team form+0.68
- driver form (last 5)+0.61
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 94.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 93.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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