driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.431
- brier
- 0.143
- ECE
- 0.114
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 88
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 3 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 4 - 04
PIA
McLaren
88%grid 1 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
86%grid 5 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
76%grid 10 - 07
HAD
Racing Bulls
70%grid 6 - 08
SAI
Williams
67%grid 7 - 09
BEA
Haas F1 Team
58%grid 13 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
52%grid 8 - 11
GAS
Alpine
48%grid 9 - 12
HAM
Ferrari
38%grid 17 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
32%grid 11 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
31%grid 15 - 15
LAW
Racing Bulls
28%grid 12 - 16
OCO
Haas F1 Team
21%grid 16 - 17
ALB
Williams
21%grid 14 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
15%grid 19 - 19
COL
Alpine
6%grid 20 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
6%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
94%
- grid position+0.89
- driver form (last 5)+0.67
- team form+0.43
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver scores points (top 10)