driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.688
- brier
- 0.240
- ECE
- 0.227
- field avg
- 47%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
90%grid 4 - 04
PIA
McLaren
78%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
71%grid 9 - 06
SAI
Williams
68%grid 3 - 07
LAW
Racing Bulls
62%grid 6 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
52%grid 7 - 09
ANT
Mercedes
50%grid 17 - 10
HAD
Racing Bulls
47%grid 8 - 11
HAM
Ferrari
47%grid 19 - 12
BEA
Haas F1 Team
37%grid 14 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
28%grid 11 - 14
OCO
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 13 - 15
GAS
Alpine
26%grid 10 - 16
TSU
Red Bull Racing
24%grid 20 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
20%grid 12 - 18
COL
Alpine
11%grid 15 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
11%grid 18 - 20
ALB
Williams
10%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
93%
- grid position+0.90
- driver form (last 5)+0.73
- team form+0.61
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 93.5%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 85.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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