driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.116
- brier
- 0.045
- ECE
- 0.071
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 71
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
71%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
37%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
2%grid 4 - 04
PIA
McLaren
1%grid 5 - 05
SAI
Williams
1%grid 3 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
0%grid 9 - 07
TSU
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 20 - 08
ANT
Mercedes
0%grid 17 - 09
HAM
Ferrari
0%grid 19 - 10
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 6 - 11
COL
Alpine
0%grid 15 - 12
ALB
Williams
0%grid 16 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 11 - 14
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 10 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 13 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 12 - 17
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 7 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 18 - 19
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 14 - 20
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 8
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
71%
- grid position+2.51
- driver form (last 5)+1.31
- team form+1.00
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 71.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 36.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)