driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.081
- brier
- 0.024
- ECE
- 0.061
- field avg
- 5%
- spread
- 38
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
38%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
23%grid 2 - 03
NOR
McLaren
16%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
14%grid 4 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
3%grid 6 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
1%grid 5 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
1%grid 8 - 08
LAW
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 20 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 7 - 10
SAI
Williams
0%grid 15 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 14 - 12
TSU
Racing Bulls
0%grid 9 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 11 - 14
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 13 - 15
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 16 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 12 - 17
ALB
Williams
0%grid 10 - 18
DOO
Alpine
0%grid 18 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
38%
- grid position+3.08
- team form+1.23
- quali gap to pole+0.68
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 37.8%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 27.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)