driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.159
- brier
- 0.059
- ECE
- 0.093
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 57
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
57%grid 2 - 02
PIA
McLaren
43%grid 3 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
18%grid 1 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
1%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
1%grid 4 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
0%grid 10 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
0%grid 6 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 9 - 09
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 15 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 16 - 11
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 12
COL
Alpine
0%grid 17 - 13
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 12 - 14
SAI
Williams
0%grid 13 - 15
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 8 - 16
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 7 - 17
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 19 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 11 - 19
ALB
Williams
0%grid 14 - 20
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
57%
- grid position+1.86
- driver form (last 5)+1.47
- team form+1.06
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 56.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 49.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)