driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.658
- brier
- 0.233
- ECE
- 0.173
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 57
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
81%grid 1 - 02
ALO
Aston Martin
74%grid 8 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
69%grid 4 - 04
NOR
McLaren
64%grid 2 - 05
BOR
Kick Sauber
56%grid 7 - 06
HAD
Racing Bulls
55%grid 19 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
54%grid 5 - 08
ANT
Mercedes
53%grid 6 - 09
COL
Alpine
53%grid 17 - 10
SAI
Williams
53%grid 13 - 11
BEA
Haas F1 Team
51%grid 11 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
46%grid 18 - 13
OCO
Haas F1 Team
43%grid 15 - 14
ALB
Williams
39%grid 14 - 15
HUL
Kick Sauber
38%grid 12 - 16
PIA
McLaren
37%grid 3 - 17
GAS
Alpine
35%grid 20 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
27%grid 16 - 19
HAM
Ferrari
27%grid 10 - 20
TSU
Red Bull Racing
25%grid 9
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
81%
- vs teammate grid+0.86
- vs teammate quali+0.47
- track history+0.10
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 81.3%.
Strongest team average: Mercedes 53.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race