driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.737
- brier
- 0.273
- ECE
- 0.368
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 70
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
85%grid 3 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
82%grid 10 - 03
GAS
Alpine
82%grid 9 - 04
ALO
Aston Martin
81%grid 8 - 05
SAI
Williams
72%grid 7 - 06
HUL
Kick Sauber
68%grid 11 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
66%grid 4 - 08
BEA
Haas F1 Team
66%grid 13 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
61%grid 6 - 10
PIA
McLaren
54%grid 1 - 11
NOR
McLaren
41%grid 2 - 12
ANT
Mercedes
35%grid 5 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
35%grid 19 - 14
LAW
Racing Bulls
34%grid 12 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
30%grid 16 - 16
ALB
Williams
24%grid 14 - 17
HAM
Ferrari
23%grid 17 - 18
COL
Alpine
22%grid 20 - 19
TSU
Red Bull Racing
16%grid 15 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
15%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
85%
- vs teammate grid+0.96
- vs teammate quali+0.53
- driver form (last 5)+0.23
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 85.3%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 52.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race