driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.481
- brier
- 0.151
- ECE
- 0.196
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 57
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
80%grid 2 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
78%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
73%grid 5 - 04
ALO
Aston Martin
70%grid 8 - 05
MAG
Haas F1 Team
68%grid 10 - 06
GAS
Alpine
67%grid 11 - 07
NOR
McLaren
62%grid 3 - 08
ZHO
Kick Sauber
59%grid 12 - 09
TSU
RB
54%grid 14 - 10
BOT
Kick Sauber
49%grid 13 - 11
COL
Williams
49%grid 19 - 12
ALB
Williams
46%grid 16 - 13
SAI
Ferrari
46%grid 7 - 14
PIA
McLaren
44%grid 4 - 15
LAW
RB
37%grid 17 - 16
HAM
Mercedes
31%grid 6 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 18 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
26%grid 15 - 19
PER
Red Bull Racing
26%grid 9 - 20
OCO
Alpine
23%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
80%
- vs teammate grid+0.84
- vs teammate quali+0.28
- driver form (last 5)+0.17
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 80.2%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 59.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race