driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.474
- brier
- 0.148
- ECE
- 0.202
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 61
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
83%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
72%grid 1 - 03
HUL
Haas F1 Team
71%grid 6 - 04
TSU
RB
70%grid 8 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
68%grid 9 - 06
ALO
Aston Martin
67%grid 7 - 07
OCO
Alpine
63%grid 15 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
59%grid 3 - 09
BOT
Kick Sauber
52%grid 19 - 10
COL
Williams
50%grid 12 - 11
RUS
Mercedes
47%grid 4 - 12
ALB
Williams
44%grid 11 - 13
SAI
Ferrari
40%grid 10 - 14
ZHO
Kick Sauber
34%grid 20 - 15
PIA
McLaren
32%grid 5 - 16
GAS
Alpine
29%grid 18 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 14 - 18
RIC
RB
22%grid 16 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
22%grid 17 - 20
PER
Red Bull Racing
22%grid 13
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
83%
- vs teammate grid+0.90
- vs teammate quali+0.34
- driver form (last 5)+0.19
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 82.7%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 53.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectHead-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race