JULES TACK.
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§ Round 18 · 2024

Singapore Grand Prix.

2024-09-22 · 20 drivers · held-out evaluation

← R17R19 →
driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
log-loss
0.167
brier
0.050
ECE
0.079
field avg
17%
spread
82

Driver ranking

coloured by outcome · hit · miss

  1. 01

    NOR

    McLaren

    82%grid 1
  2. 02

    PIA

    McLaren

    57%grid 5
  3. 03

    VER

    Red Bull Racing

    55%grid 2
  4. 04

    LEC

    Ferrari

    52%grid 9
  5. 05

    HAM

    Mercedes

    44%grid 3
  6. 06

    RUS

    Mercedes

    31%grid 4
  7. 07

    SAI

    Ferrari

    10%grid 10
  8. 08

    HUL

    Haas F1 Team

    4%grid 6
  9. 09

    PER

    Red Bull Racing

    3%grid 13
  10. 10

    ALO

    Aston Martin

    3%grid 7
  11. 11

    TSU

    RB

    1%grid 8
  12. 12

    ALB

    Williams

    1%grid 11
  13. 13

    RIC

    RB

    1%grid 16
  14. 14

    STR

    Aston Martin

    1%grid 17
  15. 15

    OCO

    Alpine

    1%grid 15
  16. 16

    MAG

    Haas F1 Team

    1%grid 14
  17. 17

    BOT

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 19
  18. 18

    ZHO

    Kick Sauber

    1%grid 20
  19. 19

    COL

    Williams

    1%grid 12
  20. 20

    GAS

    Alpine

    1%grid 18

Top driver · factor breakdown

NOR

McLaren

Probability

82%

  • grid position
    +1.82
  • team form
    +1.08
  • driver form (last 5)
    +0.83
pushes probability downshappushes probability up

Summary

Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 82.4%.

Strongest team average: McLaren 69.5%.

Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.

Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)