driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.136
- brier
- 0.034
- ECE
- 0.112
- field avg
- 16%
- spread
- 74
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
74%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
67%grid 3 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
54%grid 1 - 04
PIA
McLaren
45%grid 4 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
22%grid 11 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
16%grid 7 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
11%grid 12 - 08
RIC
RB
6%grid 5 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
6%grid 6 - 10
PER
Red Bull Racing
5%grid 16 - 11
TSU
RB
2%grid 8 - 12
ALB
Williams
1%grid 10 - 13
SAR
Williams
1%grid 13 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 9 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
1%grid 19 - 16
GAS
Alpine
1%grid 15 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 14 - 18
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 20 - 19
HUL
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 17 - 20
OCO
Alpine
1%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
74%
- grid position+1.83
- driver form (last 5)+0.91
- quali gap to pole+0.58
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 74.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 55.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver finishes on the podium (top 3)