driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.720
- brier
- 0.241
- ECE
- 0.264
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
94%grid 11 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 2 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
91%grid 12 - 04
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 3 - 05
PIA
McLaren
88%grid 4 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
84%grid 1 - 07
PER
Red Bull Racing
76%grid 16 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
74%grid 7 - 09
TSU
RB
55%grid 8 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
52%grid 6 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
35%grid 17 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
32%grid 9 - 13
GAS
Alpine
30%grid 15 - 14
RIC
RB
26%grid 5 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
24%grid 19 - 16
ALB
Williams
23%grid 10 - 17
OCO
Alpine
19%grid 18 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 14 - 19
SAR
Williams
14%grid 13 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
8%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.77
- finish pattern+0.43
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 94.1%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 92.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)