driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.266
- brier
- 0.063
- ECE
- 0.224
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
94%grid 8 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 1 - 03
PER
Red Bull Racing
88%grid 2 - 04
PIA
McLaren
86%grid 6 - 05
NOR
McLaren
85%grid 3 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
85%grid 4 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
81%grid 9 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
74%grid 5 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
67%grid 7 - 10
TSU
RB
42%grid 10 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
38%grid 16 - 12
RIC
RB
28%grid 11 - 13
HUL
Haas F1 Team
28%grid 12 - 14
GAS
Alpine
27%grid 17 - 15
OCO
Alpine
26%grid 15 - 16
BOT
Kick Sauber
25%grid 13 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
22%grid 18 - 18
ALB
Williams
20%grid 14 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
15%grid 20 - 20
SAR
Williams
14%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.69
- finish pattern+0.43
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 94.0%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 90.6%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)