driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.402
- brier
- 0.126
- ECE
- 0.137
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
92%grid 1 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 4 - 04
PIA
McLaren
90%grid 9 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
85%grid 5 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
85%grid 6 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
79%grid 3 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
66%grid 11 - 09
TSU
RB
61%grid 17 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
55%grid 10 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
37%grid 14 - 12
GAS
Alpine
33%grid 7 - 13
RIC
RB
33%grid 18 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
30%grid 13 - 15
ALB
Williams
25%grid 20 - 16
BOT
Kick Sauber
24%grid 12 - 17
OCO
Alpine
20%grid 8 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
18%grid 16 - 19
SAR
Williams
13%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
12%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
93%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- finish pattern+0.41
- team form+0.41
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 92.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)