driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.461
- brier
- 0.136
- ECE
- 0.174
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 87
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 15 - 02
PIA
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 6 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
89%grid 1 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
88%grid 3 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
87%grid 19 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
81%grid 5 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
73%grid 4 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
49%grid 7 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
46%grid 10 - 11
ALB
Williams
41%grid 9 - 12
COL
Williams
40%grid 8 - 13
RIC
RB
30%grid 14 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
30%grid 13 - 15
GAS
Alpine
30%grid 18 - 16
TSU
RB
26%grid 11 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 12 - 18
OCO
Alpine
24%grid 20 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
12%grid 16 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
7%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.90
- finish pattern+0.39
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)