driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.530
- brier
- 0.170
- ECE
- 0.194
- field avg
- 49%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 1 - 03
HAM
Mercedes
92%grid 14 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 2 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
82%grid 10 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
80%grid 4 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
78%grid 6 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
55%grid 7 - 09
PER
Red Bull Racing
53%grid 5 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
39%grid 8 - 11
TSU
RB
36%grid 11 - 12
HUL
Haas F1 Team
35%grid 12 - 13
ALB
Williams
32%grid 19 - 14
RIC
RB
28%grid 13 - 15
OCO
Alpine
22%grid 15 - 16
GAS
Alpine
15%grid 9 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 20 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
14%grid 16 - 19
SAR
Williams
12%grid 18 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
9%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.87
- finish pattern+0.43
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 94.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)