driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.369
- brier
- 0.111
- ECE
- 0.102
- field avg
- 50%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
92%grid 4 - 02
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 5 - 03
HAM
Mercedes
91%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 11 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
88%grid 6 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
82%grid 7 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
78%grid 1 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
51%grid 2 - 09
HUL
Haas F1 Team
51%grid 16 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
45%grid 8 - 11
TSU
RB
45%grid 20 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
37%grid 15 - 13
RIC
RB
33%grid 13 - 14
ALB
Williams
29%grid 10 - 15
OCO
Alpine
19%grid 9 - 16
MAG
Haas F1 Team
18%grid 17 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
16%grid 14 - 18
GAS
Alpine
14%grid 12 - 19
SAR
Williams
13%grid 18 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
11%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
92%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.74
- quali form+0.18
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 92.0%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)