driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.362
- brier
- 0.110
- ECE
- 0.152
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
92%grid 3 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 1 - 04
PIA
McLaren
91%grid 7 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 6 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
86%grid 5 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
80%grid 4 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
68%grid 8 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
51%grid 15 - 10
TSU
RB
49%grid 14 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
33%grid 17 - 12
GAS
Alpine
33%grid 13 - 13
HUL
Haas F1 Team
31%grid 9 - 14
RIC
RB
27%grid 11 - 15
OCO
Alpine
23%grid 10 - 16
ALB
Williams
20%grid 16 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
20%grid 18 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 12 - 19
SAR
Williams
14%grid 19 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
13%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
94%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.01
- team form+0.68
- finish pattern+0.41
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 93.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 92.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)