driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.101
- brier
- 0.018
- ECE
- 0.089
- field avg
- 39%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
100%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 7 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
95%grid 3 - 05
HAM
Mercedes
91%grid 5 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
87%grid 4 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
78%grid 6 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
61%grid 8 - 09
OCO
Alpine
27%grid 10 - 10
GAS
Alpine
20%grid 13 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
10%grid 17 - 12
MAG
Haas F1 Team
9%grid 12 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
7%grid 15 - 14
TSU
RB
4%grid 14 - 15
RIC
RB
2%grid 11 - 16
SAR
Williams
2%grid 19 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
1%grid 9 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
1%grid 18 - 19
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 20 - 20
ALB
Williams
0%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
100%
- sprint grid+3.40
- driver form (last 5)+2.43
- team form+0.32
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 99.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 97.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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