driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.251
- brier
- 0.080
- ECE
- 0.087
- field avg
- 37%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
99%grid 6 - 02
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 1 - 03
PIA
McLaren
99%grid 8 - 04
SAI
Ferrari
97%grid 20 - 05
VER
Red Bull Racing
95%grid 17 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 2 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
38%grid 14 - 08
GAS
Alpine
30%grid 13 - 09
LAW
RB
25%grid 5 - 10
BEA
Haas F1 Team
23%grid 15 - 11
ALB
Williams
18%grid 7 - 12
PER
Red Bull Racing
12%grid 12 - 13
HUL
Haas F1 Team
9%grid 18 - 14
COL
Williams
4%grid 16 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
2%grid 11 - 16
OCO
Alpine
2%grid 4 - 17
ALO
Aston Martin
2%grid 9 - 18
TSU
RB
1%grid 3 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
1%grid 10 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+2.68
- driver form (last 5)+2.21
- team form+0.71
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 99.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 99.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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