driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.227
- brier
- 0.073
- ECE
- 0.133
- field avg
- 37%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
99%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
99%grid 4 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
98%grid 2 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
95%grid 20 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
86%grid 3 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
82%grid 17 - 07
PIA
McLaren
51%grid 5 - 08
HUL
Haas F1 Team
35%grid 11 - 09
PER
Red Bull Racing
24%grid 9 - 10
MAG
Haas F1 Team
23%grid 8 - 11
TSU
RB
17%grid 10 - 12
COL
Williams
17%grid 15 - 13
GAS
Alpine
7%grid 6 - 14
ALO
Aston Martin
7%grid 7 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
5%grid 13 - 16
LAW
RB
2%grid 19 - 17
OCO
Alpine
1%grid 12 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
1%grid 16 - 19
ALB
Williams
1%grid 14 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
1%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+2.33
- driver form (last 5)+2.08
- team form+0.83
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 99.2%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 92.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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