driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.907
- brier
- 0.265
- ECE
- 0.298
- field avg
- 38%
- spread
- 99
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
99%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
98%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
98%grid 6 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
97%grid 4 - 05
HUL
Kick Sauber
60%grid 11 - 06
ALO
Aston Martin
60%grid 10 - 07
SAI
Williams
51%grid 9 - 08
HAM
Ferrari
48%grid 5 - 09
LEC
Ferrari
42%grid 3 - 10
ANT
Mercedes
38%grid 7 - 11
ALB
Williams
32%grid 18 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
13%grid 20 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
5%grid 19 - 14
GAS
Alpine
5%grid 14 - 15
LAW
Racing Bulls
4%grid 12 - 16
TSU
Red Bull Racing
3%grid 13 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
2%grid 8 - 18
COL
Alpine
1%grid 15 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
1%grid 16 - 20
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
99%
- sprint grid+3.66
- driver form (last 5)+2.10
- team form+0.72
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 99.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 98.2%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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