driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.439
- brier
- 0.146
- ECE
- 0.229
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 1 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
92%grid 4 - 03
NOR
McLaren
90%grid 2 - 04
PIA
McLaren
87%grid 6 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
87%grid 3 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
81%grid 5 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
77%grid 7 - 08
SAI
Williams
68%grid 9 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
55%grid 10 - 10
TSU
Red Bull Racing
47%grid 13 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
45%grid 12 - 12
BEA
Haas F1 Team
44%grid 8 - 13
HAD
Racing Bulls
28%grid 20 - 14
HUL
Kick Sauber
27%grid 11 - 15
BOR
Kick Sauber
20%grid 16 - 16
GAS
Alpine
18%grid 14 - 17
ALB
Williams
17%grid 18 - 18
COL
Alpine
16%grid 15 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
11%grid 19 - 20
OCO
Haas F1 Team
7%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
92%
- grid position+0.80
- driver form (last 5)+0.69
- team form+0.37
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 92.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 88.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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