driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.538
- brier
- 0.174
- ECE
- 0.240
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
95%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 7 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
92%grid 2 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
89%grid 1 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
85%grid 8 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
81%grid 5 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
71%grid 4 - 08
ALB
Williams
68%grid 9 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
67%grid 6 - 10
HUL
Kick Sauber
42%grid 11 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
40%grid 12 - 12
COL
Alpine
37%grid 10 - 13
SAI
Williams
29%grid 16 - 14
OCO
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 14 - 15
TSU
Red Bull Racing
24%grid 18 - 16
BOR
Kick Sauber
21%grid 15 - 17
BEA
Haas F1 Team
19%grid 13 - 18
LAW
Racing Bulls
16%grid 19 - 19
STR
Aston Martin
10%grid 17 - 20
GAS
Alpine
10%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.95
- team form+0.70
- driver form (last 5)+0.65
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 95.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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