driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.309
- brier
- 0.088
- ECE
- 0.130
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 85
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
94%grid 2 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
93%grid 5 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 1 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
92%grid 4 - 05
PIA
McLaren
91%grid 3 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
82%grid 8 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
80%grid 6 - 08
ALB
Williams
57%grid 9 - 09
BEA
Haas F1 Team
56%grid 10 - 10
SAI
Williams
54%grid 15 - 11
TSU
Red Bull Racing
40%grid 14 - 12
HAD
Racing Bulls
40%grid 7 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
38%grid 12 - 14
GAS
Alpine
37%grid 11 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
27%grid 18 - 16
LAW
Racing Bulls
19%grid 13 - 17
HUL
Kick Sauber
18%grid 16 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
13%grid 20 - 19
BOR
Kick Sauber
11%grid 17 - 20
DOO
Alpine
9%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
94%
- grid position+0.87
- driver form (last 5)+0.62
- team form+0.57
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.0%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 92.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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