driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.716
- brier
- 0.241
- ECE
- 0.287
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 83
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
94%grid 1 - 02
PER
Red Bull Racing
90%grid 6 - 03
NOR
McLaren
88%grid 3 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 4 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
86%grid 2 - 06
PIA
McLaren
82%grid 5 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
74%grid 7 - 08
HAM
Mercedes
72%grid 11 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
65%grid 10 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
62%grid 9 - 11
OCO
Alpine
34%grid 15 - 12
TSU
RB
27%grid 8 - 13
BOT
Kick Sauber
23%grid 13 - 14
ALB
Williams
22%grid 12 - 15
GAS
Alpine
19%grid 17 - 16
HUL
Haas F1 Team
15%grid 16 - 17
ZHO
Kick Sauber
15%grid 19 - 18
MAG
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 14 - 19
RIC
RB
11%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
94%
- grid position+0.89
- team form+0.79
- driver form (last 5)+0.66
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 94.0%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 92.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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