driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.521
- brier
- 0.177
- ECE
- 0.168
- field avg
- 48%
- spread
- 83
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
91%grid 6 - 02
NOR
McLaren
90%grid 1 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
83%grid 2 - 04
PIA
McLaren
79%grid 8 - 05
ALO
Aston Martin
58%grid 9 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
57%grid 20 - 07
PER
Red Bull Racing
56%grid 12 - 08
VER
Red Bull Racing
56%grid 17 - 09
OCO
Alpine
54%grid 4 - 10
HAM
Mercedes
50%grid 14 - 11
TSU
RB
48%grid 3 - 12
ALB
Williams
45%grid 7 - 13
STR
Aston Martin
44%grid 10 - 14
LAW
RB
42%grid 5 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 15 - 16
HUL
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 18 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
20%grid 11 - 18
GAS
Alpine
19%grid 13 - 19
COL
Williams
10%grid 16 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
7%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
91%
- grid position+0.81
- team form+0.70
- driver form (last 5)+0.66
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 90.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 84.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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