driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.323
- brier
- 0.075
- ECE
- 0.083
- field avg
- 5%
- spread
- 69
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
69%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
17%grid 6 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
9%grid 2 - 04
PIA
McLaren
3%grid 8 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
2%grid 20 - 06
TSU
RB
1%grid 3 - 07
OCO
Alpine
1%grid 4 - 08
VER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 17 - 09
LAW
RB
0%grid 5 - 10
HAM
Mercedes
0%grid 14 - 11
ALB
Williams
0%grid 7 - 12
PER
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 12 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 9 - 14
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 11 - 15
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19 - 16
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 13 - 17
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 10 - 18
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 18 - 19
COL
Williams
0%grid 16 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 15
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
69%
- grid position+2.13
- driver form (last 5)+1.61
- team form+0.93
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 69.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 36.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)