driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.210
- brier
- 0.053
- ECE
- 0.174
- field avg
- 25%
- spread
- 72
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
LEC
Ferrari
74%grid 6 - 02
SAI
Ferrari
73%grid 20 - 03
NOR
McLaren
68%grid 1 - 04
PIA
McLaren
61%grid 8 - 05
VER
Red Bull Racing
51%grid 17 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
43%grid 2 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
35%grid 14 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
19%grid 12 - 09
ALB
Williams
18%grid 7 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
15%grid 9 - 11
HUL
Haas F1 Team
10%grid 18 - 12
BEA
Haas F1 Team
8%grid 15 - 13
TSU
RB
5%grid 3 - 14
GAS
Alpine
5%grid 13 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
4%grid 10 - 16
OCO
Alpine
4%grid 4 - 17
LAW
RB
3%grid 5 - 18
COL
Williams
3%grid 16 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
2%grid 11 - 20
ZHO
Kick Sauber
2%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
LEC
Ferrari
Probability
74%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.23
- team form+1.15
- finish pattern−0.75
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on LEC (Ferrari) at 73.9%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 73.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectSprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5