driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.409
- brier
- 0.120
- ECE
- 0.099
- field avg
- 25%
- spread
- 76
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
79%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
67%grid 2 - 03
PIA
McLaren
59%grid 6 - 04
NOR
McLaren
55%grid 5 - 05
SAI
Ferrari
54%grid 3 - 06
PER
Red Bull Racing
53%grid 4 - 07
RUS
Mercedes
36%grid 7 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
25%grid 15 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
13%grid 8 - 10
BOT
Kick Sauber
8%grid 16 - 11
TSU
RB
7%grid 10 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
7%grid 11 - 13
GAS
Alpine
6%grid 12 - 14
RIC
RB
4%grid 20 - 15
SAR
Williams
4%grid 17 - 16
ZHO
Kick Sauber
4%grid 19 - 17
HUL
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 9 - 18
OCO
Alpine
3%grid 13 - 19
ALB
Williams
3%grid 14 - 20
MAG
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
79%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.55
- team form+1.05
- driver form (last 3)+0.71
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 78.7%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 65.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectSprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5