driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.437
- brier
- 0.156
- ECE
- 0.250
- field avg
- 30%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 1 - 02
LEC
Ferrari
80%grid 6 - 03
SAI
Ferrari
71%grid 7 - 04
PER
Red Bull Racing
70%grid 2 - 05
PIA
McLaren
55%grid 5 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
50%grid 8 - 07
NOR
McLaren
50%grid 4 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
38%grid 3 - 09
HAM
Mercedes
21%grid 18 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
17%grid 11 - 11
TSU
RB
13%grid 19 - 12
GAS
Alpine
9%grid 15 - 13
BOT
Kick Sauber
6%grid 10 - 14
OCO
Alpine
5%grid 13 - 15
ZHO
Kick Sauber
4%grid 16 - 16
ALB
Williams
4%grid 14 - 17
RIC
RB
4%grid 12 - 18
SAR
Williams
3%grid 20 - 19
MAG
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 17 - 20
HUL
Haas F1 Team
3%grid 9
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
89%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.55
- team form+1.10
- driver form (last 3)+0.71
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 89.2%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 79.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectSprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5