driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.277
- brier
- 0.088
- ECE
- 0.111
- field avg
- 8%
- spread
- 66
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
66%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
62%grid 1 - 03
HAM
Mercedes
12%grid 6 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
4%grid 7 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
4%grid 4 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
4%grid 3 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
2%grid 5 - 08
COL
Williams
1%grid 18 - 09
PER
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 8 - 10
TSU
RB
0%grid 16 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 17 - 12
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 15 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 11 - 14
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 20 - 15
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 10 - 16
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 14 - 17
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 13 - 18
RIC
RB
0%grid 12 - 19
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19 - 20
ALB
Williams
0%grid 9
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
66%
- driver form (last 5)+1.83
- grid position+1.49
- team form+1.06
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 66.0%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 63.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)