driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.265
- brier
- 0.081
- ECE
- 0.101
- field avg
- 6%
- spread
- 67
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
67%grid 1 - 02
NOR
McLaren
48%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
3%grid 3 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
2%grid 6 - 05
PIA
McLaren
1%grid 7 - 06
HAM
Mercedes
1%grid 5 - 07
SAI
Ferrari
1%grid 4 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 8 - 09
TSU
RB
0%grid 14 - 10
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 17 - 11
ALB
Williams
0%grid 16 - 12
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 12 - 13
SAR
Williams
0%grid 19 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 9 - 15
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 20 - 16
RIC
RB
0%grid 11 - 17
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 10 - 18
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 18 - 19
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 15 - 20
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 13
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
67%
- grid position+2.13
- driver form (last 5)+1.53
- quali gap to pole+0.72
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 66.8%.
Strongest team average: Red Bull Racing 33.7%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)