driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.100
- brier
- 0.035
- ECE
- 0.067
- field avg
- 7%
- spread
- 69
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
69%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
54%grid 2 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
6%grid 5 - 04
HAM
Mercedes
4%grid 3 - 05
RUS
Mercedes
3%grid 4 - 06
SAI
Ferrari
1%grid 6 - 07
PIA
McLaren
1%grid 9 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 11 - 09
SAR
Williams
0%grid 19 - 10
ALB
Williams
0%grid 20 - 11
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 7 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 10 - 13
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 16 - 14
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 13 - 15
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 15 - 16
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 8 - 17
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 12 - 18
TSU
RB
0%grid 17 - 19
RIC
RB
0%grid 18 - 20
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 14
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
69%
- grid position+2.19
- driver form (last 5)+1.61
- team form+0.95
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 69.2%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 35.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)