driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.122
- brier
- 0.039
- ECE
- 0.088
- field avg
- 7%
- spread
- 41
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
41%grid 3 - 02
SAI
Ferrari
31%grid 1 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
27%grid 4 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
23%grid 2 - 05
PIA
McLaren
10%grid 17 - 06
RUS
Mercedes
1%grid 5 - 07
HAM
Mercedes
1%grid 6 - 08
PER
Red Bull Racing
0%grid 18 - 09
MAG
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 7 - 10
TSU
RB
0%grid 11 - 11
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 14 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 13 - 13
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 8 - 14
ZHO
Kick Sauber
0%grid 19 - 15
BOT
Kick Sauber
0%grid 15 - 16
OCO
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 17
ALB
Williams
0%grid 9 - 18
LAW
RB
0%grid 12 - 19
HUL
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 10 - 20
COL
Williams
0%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
41%
- driver form (last 5)+1.77
- team form+1.04
- grid position+0.66
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 41.3%.
Strongest team average: Ferrari 29.3%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)