driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.047
- brier
- 0.011
- ECE
- 0.039
- field avg
- 4%
- spread
- 55
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
55%grid 1 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
13%grid 5 - 03
LEC
Ferrari
8%grid 2 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
6%grid 4 - 05
HAM
Ferrari
3%grid 3 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
1%grid 6 - 07
TSU
Red Bull Racing
1%grid 10 - 08
PIA
McLaren
1%grid 7 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
0%grid 14 - 10
LAW
Racing Bulls
0%grid 15 - 11
GAS
Alpine
0%grid 18 - 12
STR
Aston Martin
0%grid 19 - 13
ALB
Williams
0%grid 17 - 14
SAI
Williams
0%grid 12 - 15
COL
Alpine
0%grid 20 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
0%grid 13 - 17
OCO
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 11 - 18
BOR
Kick Sauber
0%grid 16 - 19
HAD
Racing Bulls
0%grid 8 - 20
BEA
Haas F1 Team
0%grid 9
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
55%
- grid position+2.97
- quali gap to pole+0.66
- driver form (last 5)+0.63
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 55.4%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 28.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectRace — driver WINS (1st place)