driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.362
- brier
- 0.111
- ECE
- 0.157
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 84
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
96%grid 5 - 02
RUS
Mercedes
94%grid 4 - 03
NOR
McLaren
93%grid 1 - 04
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 2 - 05
PIA
McLaren
88%grid 7 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
80%grid 6 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
79%grid 3 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
55%grid 10 - 09
HAD
Racing Bulls
54%grid 8 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
51%grid 14 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
44%grid 15 - 12
SAI
Williams
44%grid 12 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
34%grid 16 - 14
BEA
Haas F1 Team
29%grid 9 - 15
ALB
Williams
25%grid 17 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
20%grid 19 - 17
HUL
Kick Sauber
17%grid 13 - 18
GAS
Alpine
16%grid 18 - 19
OCO
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 11 - 20
COL
Alpine
12%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
96%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- finish pattern+0.60
- team form+0.49
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 95.6%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 90.1%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)