driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.386
- brier
- 0.117
- ECE
- 0.198
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 80
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
VER
Red Bull Racing
95%grid 2 - 02
PIA
McLaren
92%grid 3 - 03
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 5 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
89%grid 1 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
83%grid 7 - 06
HAD
Racing Bulls
72%grid 8 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
68%grid 4 - 08
HAM
Ferrari
66%grid 6 - 09
ALO
Aston Martin
54%grid 10 - 10
TSU
Red Bull Racing
50%grid 13 - 11
LAW
Racing Bulls
49%grid 12 - 12
SAI
Williams
46%grid 18 - 13
ALB
Williams
43%grid 20 - 14
BOR
Kick Sauber
43%grid 14 - 15
BEA
Haas F1 Team
30%grid 9 - 16
STR
Aston Martin
28%grid 15 - 17
GAS
Alpine
23%grid 19 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
17%grid 17 - 19
HUL
Kick Sauber
15%grid 11 - 20
COL
Alpine
15%grid 16
Top driver · factor breakdown
VER
Red Bull Racing
Probability
95%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- finish pattern+0.60
- team form+0.45
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on VER (Red Bull Racing) at 95.0%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)