driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.449
- brier
- 0.146
- ECE
- 0.149
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 81
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
96%grid 3 - 02
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 2 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
89%grid 1 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
87%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
83%grid 4 - 06
HAD
Racing Bulls
63%grid 19 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
63%grid 10 - 08
ALO
Aston Martin
61%grid 8 - 09
ALB
Williams
59%grid 14 - 10
LAW
Racing Bulls
53%grid 18 - 11
ANT
Mercedes
52%grid 6 - 12
BOR
Kick Sauber
43%grid 7 - 13
SAI
Williams
36%grid 13 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
32%grid 16 - 15
GAS
Alpine
31%grid 20 - 16
TSU
Red Bull Racing
31%grid 9 - 17
OCO
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 15 - 18
BEA
Haas F1 Team
24%grid 11 - 19
HUL
Kick Sauber
22%grid 12 - 20
COL
Alpine
16%grid 17
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
96%
- Q3 appearance rate+1.05
- team form+0.76
- finish pattern+0.60
pushes probability downlinearpushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 96.1%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 95.4%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
Back to F1 projectQualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)