driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.327
- brier
- 0.094
- ECE
- 0.212
- field avg
- 53%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 3 - 02
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 2 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 1 - 04
NOR
McLaren
88%grid 5 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
86%grid 7 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
84%grid 4 - 07
HAM
Ferrari
80%grid 6 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
66%grid 8 - 09
BEA
Haas F1 Team
59%grid 9 - 10
ALO
Aston Martin
51%grid 10 - 11
SAI
Williams
48%grid 18 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
43%grid 12 - 13
TSU
Red Bull Racing
36%grid 13 - 14
ALB
Williams
36%grid 20 - 15
STR
Aston Martin
26%grid 15 - 16
HUL
Kick Sauber
25%grid 11 - 17
BOR
Kick Sauber
21%grid 14 - 18
OCO
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 17 - 19
COL
Alpine
10%grid 16 - 20
GAS
Alpine
7%grid 19
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
93%
- grid position+0.91
- driver form (last 5)+0.61
- team form+0.41
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 93.3%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 90.8%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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