driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.510
- brier
- 0.170
- ECE
- 0.135
- field avg
- 51%
- spread
- 89
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 2 - 02
PIA
McLaren
94%grid 1 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
93%grid 3 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 4 - 05
HAM
Ferrari
87%grid 5 - 06
ANT
Mercedes
82%grid 6 - 07
LEC
Ferrari
80%grid 7 - 08
HAD
Racing Bulls
61%grid 9 - 09
ALB
Williams
57%grid 11 - 10
GAS
Alpine
44%grid 8 - 11
SAI
Williams
41%grid 17 - 12
LAW
Racing Bulls
29%grid 13 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
29%grid 10 - 14
TSU
Red Bull Racing
22%grid 19 - 15
OCO
Haas F1 Team
21%grid 16 - 16
BEA
Haas F1 Team
14%grid 14 - 17
BOR
Kick Sauber
13%grid 12 - 18
HUL
Kick Sauber
11%grid 15 - 19
COL
Alpine
5%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.89
- team form+0.71
- driver form (last 5)+0.67
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.7%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.5%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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