driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.362
- brier
- 0.111
- ECE
- 0.154
- field avg
- 52%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 2 - 02
NOR
McLaren
91%grid 10 - 03
RUS
Mercedes
91%grid 3 - 04
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 1 - 05
LEC
Ferrari
88%grid 4 - 06
HAM
Ferrari
81%grid 7 - 07
ANT
Mercedes
78%grid 5 - 08
SAI
Williams
76%grid 6 - 09
TSU
Red Bull Racing
62%grid 8 - 10
GAS
Alpine
56%grid 9 - 11
ALB
Williams
40%grid 11 - 12
BEA
Haas F1 Team
38%grid 15 - 13
ALO
Aston Martin
29%grid 13 - 14
LAW
Racing Bulls
26%grid 12 - 15
HAD
Racing Bulls
26%grid 14 - 16
OCO
Haas F1 Team
26%grid 19 - 17
DOO
Alpine
14%grid 17 - 18
STR
Aston Martin
14%grid 16 - 19
HUL
Kick Sauber
14%grid 18 - 20
BOR
Kick Sauber
7%grid 20
Top driver · factor breakdown
PIA
McLaren
Probability
93%
- grid position+0.85
- team form+0.69
- driver form (last 5)+0.54
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on PIA (McLaren) at 93.0%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 91.9%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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