driver scores points (top 10)Qualifying — driver reaches Q3 (top 10)S: driver scores points (top 8)Sprint Qualifying — driver starts top 5driver finishes on the podium (top 3)driver WINS (1st place)Head-to-head — driver beats their teammate in the race
- log-loss
- 0.396
- brier
- 0.108
- ECE
- 0.190
- field avg
- 56%
- spread
- 86
Driver ranking
coloured by outcome · hit · miss
- 01
NOR
McLaren
95%grid 7 - 02
PIA
McLaren
93%grid 9 - 03
VER
Red Bull Racing
91%grid 1 - 04
RUS
Mercedes
90%grid 5 - 05
ANT
Mercedes
82%grid 4 - 06
LEC
Ferrari
82%grid 10 - 07
LAW
Racing Bulls
77%grid 3 - 08
TSU
Red Bull Racing
75%grid 6 - 09
SAI
Williams
71%grid 2 - 10
HAM
Ferrari
68%grid 12 - 11
HAD
Racing Bulls
62%grid 8 - 12
ALO
Aston Martin
60%grid 11 - 13
BOR
Kick Sauber
34%grid 13 - 14
STR
Aston Martin
29%grid 14 - 15
ALB
Williams
27%grid 19 - 16
BEA
Haas F1 Team
25%grid 15 - 17
OCO
Haas F1 Team
16%grid 20 - 18
HUL
Kick Sauber
15%grid 17 - 19
COL
Alpine
14%grid 16 - 20
GAS
Alpine
9%grid 18
Top driver · factor breakdown
NOR
McLaren
Probability
95%
- grid position+0.77
- driver form (last 5)+0.72
- team form+0.57
pushes probability downshappushes probability up
Summary
Strongest signal on NOR (McLaren) at 94.9%.
Strongest team average: McLaren 94.0%.
Export a9872a5 · generated 2026-04-23T10:31:09+00:00. Republished automatically after every F1 session.
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